Fantasy Drafthelp: Hot Pickups & Hot Drops

These are our fantasy baseball hot pickups and hot drops, listing key players most in flux on rosters in the last week in CBS Sports leagues.

Fantasy Baseball Hot Pickups

^ Jake Arrieta

^ Homer Bailey

^ Bartolo Colon
^ Ryan Ludwick

^ Ryan Madson

^ Charlie Morton

^ Joel Pineiro

^ Scott Rolen

^ Fernando Salas

^ Justin Turner

Fantasy Baseball Hot Drops

^ Sam Fuld

^ Freddy Garcia

^ Jonny Gomes

^ Aaron Harang

^ James Loney

^ David Murphy

^ Ryan Raburn

^ Eduardo Sanchez

^ Ian Stewart

^ Randy Wolf

Fantasy Drafthelp: 2011 NASCAR Rankings

TOP TIER

1 Jimmy Johnson

2 Kevin Harvick

3 Denny Hamlin

4 Kyle Busch

5 Carl Edwards

6 Jeff Gordon

7 Matt Kenseth

8 Tony Stewart

9 Clint Bowyer

10 Greg Biffle

11 Mark Martin

12 Jeff Burton

SECOND TIER

13 Joey Logano

14 Kurt Busch

15 Ryan Newman

16 Jamie McMurray

17 Brian Vickers

18 Juan Pablo Montoya

THIRD TIER

19 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.

20 David Reutimann

21 Kasey Kahne

FOURTH TIER

22 Martin Truex, Jr.

23 Brad Keselowski

24 AJ Allmendinger

25 Paul Menard

FIFTH TIER

26 Marcos Ambrose

27 David Ragan

28 Regan Smith

29 Bobby Labonte

30 David Gilliland

31 Travis Kvapil

Fantasy Drafthelp: Playoff Fantasy Football

This week, we bring you our 2010-11 Playoff Fantasy Football Draft Board & Suggested Guidelines.

We recommend five or six owners drafting serpentine-style with point distribution as follows: 6 points per rushing/receiving TD, 4 points per passing TD, 1 point per every 10 yards rushing/receiving, 1 point per every 25 yards passing, 1 point per kicking PAT, 3 points per FG (with 1 additional point at 45 yards, 2 additional points at 50 yards and 3 additional points at 55 yards), 1 point per 2-point PAT by pass, 2 points per 2-point PAT by rushing or receiving, 6 points per special teams TD, 1 point per fumble recovery, 2 points per INT. The one part we’re changing up this year is the use of team positions rather than individual ones (i.e. “Indianapolis QBs” instead of “Peyton Manning”), utilizing 1 team QB, 2 team RBs, 2 team “receivers” (with points for WRs and TEs both counting), 1 team K and 1 team D/ST.

Here is the draft board by position:

QB

1 NE

2 NO

3 Indy

4 Phil

5 Pit

6 GB

7 Chi

8 Balt

RB

1 NE

2 Pit

3 Atl

4 NYJ

5 Balt

6 Phil

7 Chi

8 Indy

9 KC

10 NO

11 GB

12 Sea

WR/TE

1 Indy

2 NO

3 NE

4 Pit

5 Phil

6 GB

7 NYJ

8 Balt

9 Atl

10 Chi

11 KC

12 Sea

K

1 NE

2 Pit

3 Balt

4 Atl

5 Phl

6 Indy

7 NYJ

8 GB

D/ST

1 Balt

2 Pit

3 NO

4 NYJ

5 Atl

6 Phil

7 NE

8 GB

Here was the outcome of our mock draft on the January 4 episode of THE FANTASYDRAFTHELP.COM INSIDER, a show-within-a-show on THE FDH LOUNGE (Tuesdays, 7-10 PM EST on SportsTalkNetwork.com).

ROUND 1

1 FDH Senior Editor Jason Jones: NE QB

2 FDH Lounge Dignitary Chris Galloway: NO QB

3 FDH Senior Producer Steve Cirvello: NO WR

4 FDH Managing Partner Rick Morris: NE RB

5 FDH Entertainment Editor Samantha Jones: Pit RB

6 FDH Lounge Dignitary Nate Noy: NE WR

ROUND 2

1 Nate: Indy WR

2 Samm: Indy QB

3 Rick: Atl RB

4 Steve: Phil QB

5 Chris: NYJ RB

6 Jason: Pit WR

ROUND 3

1 Jason: Balt RB

2 Chris: Phil WR

3 Steve: Phil RB

4 Rick: GB WR

5 Samm: NYJ WR

6 Nate: Chi RB

ROUND 4

1 Nate: NO RB

2 Samm: Indy RB

3 Rick: Balt WR

4 Steve: KC RB

5 Chris: Atl WR

6 Jason: KC WR

ROUND 5

1 Jason: GB RB

2 Chris: NE K

3 Steve: Chi WR

4 Rick: Pit K

5 Samm: Pit D/ST

6 Nate: NE D/ST

ROUND 6

1 Nate: Atl K

2 Samm: Phil K

3 Rick: Pit QB (side note: most amusing because of Rick’s immense loathing of Big Ben as a Miami of Ohio grad and Pittsburgh Steeler)

4 Steve: Balt D/ST

5 Chris: NYJ D/ST

6 Jason: Balt K

ROUND 7

1 Jason: Phil D/ST

2 Chris Sea RB

3 Steve: Indy K

4 Rick: NO D/ST

5 Samm: Sea WR

6 Nate: Atl QB

Fantasy Drafthelp: NFL Week 9

Here’s a few standard preface notes:

^ Notwithstanding the claims of any website to be your “home for Sunday morning injury report news,” nothing beats Google News – nothing. Entering a player name into this search engine trumps any other means of gathering information because it culls the data from an unbelievably wide variety of sources.

^ Especially earlier in the season, it’s always good to refer to a strong baseline of where players should have been drafted – and nothing beats FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFTOLOGY 2010.

^ Unless there are any injury questions, we never discuss “gimme” players. Such core players should be started week in and week out unless there is any question surrounding their playing status. Winning teams only need to worry about “playing the matchups” with one, two or (at the most, during bye weeks) three spots in the lineup. With a full slate of games, and players drafted in a certain order for a multiplicity of reasons, we especially don’t advocate much juggling for the first two weeks of the season. Some websites promise you a crystal ball for how to manage high-risk, high-reward juggling during the season. We don’t. We play the percentages. That approach may be boring, but it’s highly effective and much more intellectually honest in what we promise you.

^ By the way, here are your core players who should not be benched if healthy or available (players listed in their order on our draft board):

QB: Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, Matt Schaub, Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, Brett Favre, Tom Brady, Tony Romo

RB: Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Ray Rice, Maurice Jones-Drew, Frank Gore, Steven Jackson, Michael Turner, DeAngelo Williams, Rashard Mendenhall, Ryan Mathews, Jamaal Charles, Knowshon Moreno, Shonn Greene, Matt Forte, Beanie Wells, Cedric Benson, Jonathan Stewart, LeSean McCoy, Ronnie Brown

WR: Andre Johnson, Randy Moss, Reggie Wayne, Roddy White, Miles Austin, Greg Jennings, DeSean Jackson, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall, Anquan Boldin, Marques Colston, Steve Smith (Carolina), Chad Ochocinco, Calvin Johnson, Steve Smith (NY Giants), Dwayne Bowe, Michael Crabtree, Donald Driver, Vincent Jackson

TE: Dallas Clark, Antonio Gates, Vernon Davis, Brent Celek, Jason Witten, Tony Gonzalez, Jermichael Finley

^ Here are the players who have been added to the list this season:

QB: none

RB: Arian Foster, LaDainian Tomlinson

WR: Wes Welker, Terrell Owens, Hakeem Nicks

TE: none

^ Here are the players who have been removed from that list this season:

QB: none

RB: Ryan Grant

WR: Pierre Garcon, Mike Wallace

TE: none

^ Links for each game take you to the NFL.com home page for each game, with stats and analysis.

^ All times listed are EDT.

^ Teams listed as “All-In” have a combination of all of the above players and any marginal players reaching a status where QB/RB1/RB2/WR1/WR2/TE all should be played. Teams listed as “All-Out” should have only the above “locks” for their team in a fantasy lineup, with all marginal players being benched.

^ All advice is relative, because there are exceptions to every rule. There are no marginal players who absolutely should be played or benched, but the ones we refer to here should be in the vast majority of circumstances.

^ Of the non-gimme players we like this week, the stronger plays are the ones in all caps.

Week 9

Sun. Nov. 07

Buccaneers at Falcons, 1:00 PM QB Freeman, QB Ryan, RB Snelling

Saints at Panthers, 1:00 PM All-in on marginal Saints (RB Ivory, WR Meachem, WR Moore, TE Shockey), all-out on marginal Panthers

Bears at Bills, 1:00 PM QB Cutler, WR Knox, QB Fitzpatrick, WR Evans, WR S Johnson

Jets at Lions, 1:00 PM All-in on marginal Jets (QB Sanchez, WR Edwards, WR Holmes, TE Keller), RB Best

Dolphins at Ravens, 1:00 PM WR Bess, QB Flacco

Patriots at Browns, 1:00 PM RB Green-Ellis, TE Hernandez, RB Hillis

Chargers at Texans, 1:00 PM RB Tolbert, all-out on marginal Texans

Cardinals at Vikings, 1:00 PM WR Breaston, TE Shiancoe

Giants at Seahawks, 4:05 PM QB E MANNING, RB Bradshaw, RB Jacobs, WR M Williams

Chiefs at Raiders, 4:15 PM RB T Jones, RB McFadden

Colts at Eagles, 4:15 PM WR GARCON, WR Maclin

Cowboys at Packers, 8:20 PM RB F JONES, RB B Jackson

Mon. Nov. 08

Steelers at Bengals, 8:30 PM QB Roethlisberger, WR Wallace, WR Ward, all-in on marginal Bengals (QB Palmer, TE Gresham)

Byes: DEN, JAC, SF, STL, TEN, WAS

FDH Lounge: 2010 ALCS and NLCS Previews

ALCS
New York Yankees vs. Texas
Power: New York Yankees, edge
Speed: Texas, edge
Starting Pitching: Even
Relief Pitching: Texas, slight edge
Key Player for New York Yankees: AJ Burnett -- The one big winter-of-'08 signing who hasn't panned out -- and should have looked pretty risky at the time -- can no longer be avoided in the revised LCS format that took out the faux travel day, so he needs to keep his team in the game somehow.
Key Player for Texas: CJ Wilson -- Based on how he thrived in his first year as a full-time starter, the Rangers now have two hammer lefties and they cannot win the series without fully exploiting New York's vulnerability in that regard.
The easy hook for this series is that it matches baseball's most decorated franchise with arguably its least -- or at least, the last one to advance to an LCS. The Yankees blew through Minnesota in the LDS just as they have previously and just as they did against Texas in three LDS in the late 1990s. Oddly, the Twins were configured slightly differently this time around, with a bit more emphasis on power and less on starting pitching. Same result, though. And this Ranger team is likewise a bit different from their softball-slugging forefathers with a bit less power, a bit more speed and a whole lot more pitching. The fact that it is southpaw-oriented is the main source for hope for good Yankee-haters everywhere. A secondary source of hope lies in the return to form of two Ranger lineup linchpins. The league's most explosive hitter, Josh Hamilton, will be returning to the scene of his greatest national exposure in the 2008 Home Run Derby. Can he round back into form after missing much of September and seeing his team advance past Tampa in spite of his weak performance? And can Ian Kinsler continue his sharp October after suffering through a sub-par regular season? If so, Texas will be in business, because when he's at his best, he's worthy of being in the conversation along with the Yanks' Robinson Cano for best AL second baseman. Speaking of momentum, former Texas first baseman Mark Teixeira recovered from his trademark slow start and has been red-hot through the second half. Ultimately, he's part of a deeper attack and while history has shown that the Yanks can be vulnerable to a faster, hungry young team (i.e. Florida in 2003), postseason experience and the confidence gained from past accomplishments should carry the Yankees into yet another World Series. Yankees in 6.

NLCS
San Francisco vs. Philadelphia
Power: Philadelphia, slight edge
Speed: Philadelphia, edge
Starting Pitching: Even
Relief Pitching: San Francisco, edge
Key Player for San Francisco: Jonathan Sanchez -- Lefties hit only .181 against him in his breakthrough year, potential bad news for the Howard-Utley-Ibanez part of the Philly attack.
Key Player for Philadelphia: Brad Lidge -- Just like how San Fran has "Good Aubrey" and "Bad Aubrey," Philly has one of the great arms -- and great stomach-wreckers -- of this generation and he needs to be the former in a series that should be razor-thin.
It's tough to remember the last time each team through three aces at each other like what we're going to see in this series. The Halladay/Lincecum throwdown in particular is pay-per-view worthy. It will be very interesting to see what materializes in Game Four when super-rook Madison Bumgarner faces off with the man who exemplifies the first syllable of his last name, Joe Blanton. In a close series, the bullpen edge and the Mad Man could prove decisive, but Philly's experience and proven lineup -- which contrasts sharply to the Giants' admittedly impressive job of achieving reclamation in so many spots -- are likely to trump those elements. This clash looks like a lock to go seven, but those kinds of series never do. Phillies in 6.

WORLD SERIES PREDICTION
Phillies over Yankees in 6.

FDH Lounge: 2010 ALCS/NLCS notes and oddities

^ This year, depending on the combinations in the World Series between the Rangers, Yankees, Phillies and Giants, there are many different possibilities for history to be made. Here’s the first of many odd facts, right off the bat: if the Yankees and Phillies meet in a World Series rematch, it will be the first time since 1956-58 that a team that has won three straight pennants (the Phillies now, the Yankees then) would be meeting a team that has won two straight pennants (the Yankees now, the Milwaukee Braves then). The Yankees and Phillies would also meet in the tenth rematch in World Series history, following the Yankees and Dodgers in 1977-78, Yankees and Braves in 1957-58, Yankees and Dodgers in 1955-56, Yankees and Dodgers in 1952-53, Yankees and Cardinals in 1942-43, Yankees and Giants in 1936-37, As and Cardinals in 1930-31, Yankees and Giants in 1921-23 and Tigers and Cubs in 1907-08.

^ Credit to Wikipedia: along with the Cubs, the Phillies are one of only two old-line NL teams who the Yankees haven’t lost to in a World Series.

^ If the Giants and Rangers meet in the World Series, it will stir memories of what seemed at the time an entirely random matchup: June 12, 1997 marked the first regular-season interleague game ever with San Francisco at Texas.

^ If the Yankees and Giants meet in the World Series, it will be the matchup with the most combined pennants in history (62), surpassing the 1981 World Series between the Yankees and Dodgers (54), the 1999 World Series between the Yankees and Braves (53) and the 1978 World Series between the Yankees and Dodgers (52). If the Rangers and Phillies form the championship combo, they will have nine pennants between them, good for a tie for seventh in the LCS era (post-1968), ahead of Orioles-Mets in 1969 (4), Royals-Phillies in 1980 (5), Indians-Marlins in 1997 (6), Blue Jays-Phillies in 1993 (7), White Sox-Astros in 2005 (7), Rays-Phillies in 2008 (8) and Orioles-Reds (9) in 1970.

^ In terms of potential renewals of rivalries between cities in the World Series, New York and Philadelphia top the list because of the many playoff meetings and divisional battles they have seen across all four major sports. Philly vs. Texas would be intriguing because it would match the markets engaged in one of the NFL’s great enduring rivalries. Philly and San Francisco don’t have a ton of history between them – they’ve never met in the NLCS before, having previously alternated eras when they have been strong – but they did share Wilt Chamberlain and the NBA Warriors franchise. And there hasn’t been a lot of interaction between New York and Frisco – although they did meet in the 1962 World Series, the only matchup of the historically recurring rivalry since the Giants moved west in 1958 – other than the epic Giants-49ers battles of the 1980s.

^ Some indicators look good for the Rangers’ chances. Ron Washington is the only manager in this year’s LCS without World Series experience. The last seven times this was the case, that manager moved on to the final round: 2009 (Joe Girardi), 2001 (Ohio University’s Bob Brenly), 2000 (Bobby Valentine), 1998 (Bruce Bochy), 1997 (Jim Leyland), 1996 (Joe Torre) and 1995 (Mike Hargrove). The last such manager to lose in the LCS? Dick Howser in 1984 – and his Royals won it all the next year. Also, the last four teams in the LCS for the first time (Tampa Bay in 2008, Colorado in 2007, Arizona in 2001 and Florida in 1997) advanced to the World Series.

^ But some indicators bode poorly for the Rangers’ chances as well. Teams from the AL West have lost in the ALCS six of the last seven times: lost in 2009 (Angels), 2006 (As), 2005 (Angels), won in 2002 (Angels), lost in 2001 (Mariners), lost in 2000 (Mariners) and lost in 1995 (Mariners).

^ The Rangers’ long-awaited ALCS debut marks the second time that an entire division has qualified for it since the start of the three-round playoffs in 1995. The NL West completed the feat with Colorado in 2007. The NL East may very well have attained this had the strike not prevented Montreal – arguably the best team in baseball in 1994 – from advancing at least that far. The Blue Jays are the only AL East team not to make it since 1995, but they were there the previous two times in 1992-93 when they won the World Series each year.

^ If the Giants make it back to the World Series, it will be exactly eight years in between appearances. When was the last time that happened? 1979, when BOTH Pittsburgh and Baltimore made it back after an eight-year absence.

^ This year stands out in one regard: not since the start of the LDS in 1995 has each league featured a matchup of teams who have never faced one another for the league championship but who could have because they were in opposite divisions in the old two-division setup from 1969-93. The last time each league featured a matchup of two teams who have never faced each other for the league championship? 1993, with Toronto vs. the Chicago White Sox and Atlanta vs. Philadelphia in the final LCS not to be preceded by the LDS.

^ We mentioned in our LDS notes that the World Series has never failed to feature an “old-line” franchise (those who were around prior to the post-1961 expansions in the game). But last year’s “all-old line” World Series between Philly and the Yankees is pretty rare in the recent history of the game. The last few were St. Louis vs. Detroit in 2006, St. Louis vs. Boston in 2004, the Yankees vs. Atlanta (keeping in mind that the Braves go way back, in Milwaukee and in Boston before that) in 1999 and 1996 and Cleveland vs. Atlanta in 1995. So in terms of the likelihood of seeing the Yankees vs. Philly again or the Yankees against the Giants, you have to go back to the first two years of the LDS format in 1995-96 to find a World Series comprised solely of these franchises in back-to-back years.

^ Speaking of old-line teams, this is the third consecutive NLCS featuring exclusively teams from this designation. There hasn’t been a run like that in the National League since the one from 1989-96. The AL hasn’t had one of these matchups since 2007 (Red Sox-Indians) and 2006 (Tigers-As).

^ There’s plenty of interesting Bruce Bochy notes. First and foremost, if the Giants make it to the World Series, he will be going back after a 12-year hiatus. He’d be in very good company as far as managers with a similar break between appearances: Bucky Harris (23 years), Connie Mack (15 years), Tony LaRussa (14 years), Joe Cronin (13 years), Alvin Dark (12 years, with the first one coming with the Giants in 1962), Bill McKechnie, Danny Murtaugh and Dick Williams (11 years) and Leo Durocher and Charlie Grimm (10 years). All but Cronin and Grimm have a world championship to their credit. Also, because he managed against the Yankees with the Padres in 1998, if he gets them again, he’ll duplicate the feat of Durocher (who managed the Dodgers and Giants against the Yankees) and McKechnie (who managed the Cardinals and Yankees against the Yankees) in facing the same team in the World Series at the helm of two different squads. Additionally, he would be the fifth manager to take two different teams from the same state to the World Series (Durocher: Dodgers/Giants, Dark: Giants/As, Williams: As/Padres and Yogi Berra: Yankees/Mets).